Bayern Munich’s 6-0 demolition of Borussia Dortmund at the weekend served to underline (once again) the fact that the Bundesliga is a one horse race this season. From a betting perspective, Bayern are untouchable. Most bookmakers will no longer give you odds for them to win the league at this point, and those that do, offer odds of around 1/2000: meaning your money would be better sitting in a bank for a few weeks.
However, there is some value bets to be made up and down the German leagues, with a fair few shocks still possible. Here are some value picks as we finish off the season:
Hoffenheim to finish in the top 4: 20/1 888sport
With eight games to go, second-placed Schalke (52 pts) look nailed on to secure a top 4 position at the very least. That leaves five clubs – Dortmund (48pts), Leipzig (46pts), Leverkusen (45pts) Frankfurt (45pts) and Hoffenheim (42pts). While Hoffenheim are the outsiders and have a considerable gap to make up, they also have the easier run-in of the quintet. Indeed, they have gone unbeaten in five games, whereas the likes of Frankfurt, Leverkusen and Leipzig have all lost a couple of games in recent weeks. Some bookmakers have Hoffenheim as low as 9/1, making 888sport’s 20/1 odds something of a bargain.
Wolfsburg to be relegated: 15/2 Paddy Power
With just a handful of games remaining, both Mainz and Wolfsburg are peering over the edge of the abyss. As it stands, one of those teams will be in the playoff game against Nurnberg or Holsten Kiel (see below). Wolfsburg though, have been particularly awful of late, winning just one of their last 14 games in the league. It still obviously a little bit of a longshot, so it might be worth checking some free bet no deposit offers to see if you can place your bet for free.
Holsten Kiel to be promoted to the Bundesliga 1: 6/4 Betway
Fortuna Dusseldorf look to have the Bundesliga 2 title just about wrapped up, so it looks like a two-way tussle between Nurnberg and Kiel to get one of the second automatic promotion spots. Nurnberg (given odds of just 1/6) currently have a two-point advantage, but they have not won a game since the 18th February. Kiel seem to be hitting form at the right time and look a fair shout at odds-against to be in the top flight next season, even if it is via a potential playoff game against Mainz or Wolfsburg.
Bayern Munich to win the DFB Pokal: 4/7 Sky Bet
Sure, the odds aren’t huge, but what else would you expect for Jupp Heynckes’ all-conquering side. The main hope for the other semi-finalists – Leverkusen (5/1), Frankfurt (9/1) and Schalke (7/2) – is that Bayern get distracted with Champions League commitments. However, Heynckes has enough depth in the squad to rotate and still come away with the spoils. Indeed, it would not be surprising to see Bayern finish the season with the Treble once again.
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