September 25, 2017

What is Germany’s Qualifying Scenario on the Last Day of the Group of Death?

Ahead of Germany’s last group stage game, let’s take a look at the qualifying configuration and what results will benefit them, what other results may mean and what scenarios shape what outcomes in the Group of Death.

As things stand, these are the standings in Group G:

(c) FIFA.com
(c) FIFA.com

 

The rules, according to FIFA are as follows regarding tiebreakers:

1. Greatest number of points obtained in all group matches.

2. Goal difference in all group matches.

3. Greatest number of goals scored in all group matches.

4. Greatest number of points obtained in the group matches between the teams concerned.

5. Goal difference resulting from the group matches between the teams concerned.

6. Greater number of goals scored in all group matches between the teams concerned.

7. Drawing of lots by the FIFA Organizing Committee.

Germany qualifies if….

  • A win OR a draw with the United States
  • A loss against the United States provided Portugal and Ghana draw in their game
  • A loss against the United States with a win of either Ghana or Portugal provided Germany’s goal difference is still superior

The United States qualifies if…

  • A win OR a draw with Germany
  • A loss against Germany provided Portugal and Ghana draw in their game
  • A loss against Germany and a win from either Ghana or Portugal, provided the US’s goal difference is superior.

Ghana qualifies if…

  • A win against Portugal provided Germany and the US do not draw and their goal difference is better than the loser of the Germany vs US match

Portugal qualifies if…

  • A win against Ghana, provided Germany and the US do not draw, and that their goal difference is superior than the loser of the Germany vs US match. 

If you need a more elaborate qualifying schematic, here are the various scenarios of qualification given different permutations of goal difference:

Courtesy of @asahopkins on twitter
Courtesy of @asahopkins on twitter
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Cristian Nyari

Cristian is a football writer and analyst living in New York City, fascinated with the history and study of the beautiful game and all it entails. Follow Cristian on twitter @Cnyari

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